Adjusted
Goaltender Stats
Roberto Luongo's
performance in 2006-07 was nothing short of brilliant. In
76 games he led the Canucks to victory 47 times and
recorded 5 shutouts. His record seems to indicate that
this was the best season ever by a Canuck goaltender.
But how do you make a fair
comparison? Rules have changed over the years that may
have given Luongo an edge when comparing him to goalies
from the past. By making a few assumptions and crunching
the numbers, we can come up with a chart comparing five
amazing seasons.
First, let's look at the
five goalies that have recorded 30 wins in a single
season for the Canucks. They are:
| Goalie |
Season |
Games |
Wins |
Losses |
Ties |
OTL |
| Gary Smith |
1974-75 |
72 |
32 |
24 |
9 |
- |
| Kirk McLean |
1991-92 |
65 |
38 |
17 |
9 |
- |
| Dan Cloutier* |
2002-03 |
57 |
33 |
16 |
7 |
- |
| Alex Auld |
2005-06 |
67 |
33 |
26 |
- |
6 |
| Roberto Luongo |
2006-07 |
76 |
47 |
22 |
- |
6 |
* Dan
Cloutier hit the thirty-win mark three times as a Canuck
(2001-02, 2002-03 and 2003-04), but I believe 2002-03 was
the best of these three seasons.
Now, we will make some
adjustments to these five seasons:
Games in a Season:
Up to and including 1991-92, the Canucks only played 80
games, while today they play 82 games. We will adjust the
stats to remove the goalie's results from any games
played after the 80 game mark.
Overtime:
In 1974-75, there was no overtime. If a game was tied
after 60 minutes, it went into the books as a tie.
Between 1983-84 and 2003-04, games that were tied after
60 minutes would continue for up to five minutes of
sudden-death overtime. We will adjust the results to
assume that every game ended after 60 minutes (wins and
losses in overtime become ties).
Shootouts:
Since 2005-06, every game is either a win or a loss,
although the goalie is not credited with a loss if he
loses in overtime or the shootout. We will adjust the
results to assume that an "overtime loss" is
treated as a tie (since the game was tied after 60
minutes). Overtime and shootout wins are also treated as
ties.
Decisions:
Goalies play in games where they are not credited with a
decision. We will ignore games played where another goal
got the win, loss or tie. This number will be used to
calculate the winning percentage.
Points:
To calculate points earned, wins are worth two points,
ties are worth a single point and losses are worth no
points. The winning percentage will then be calculated
based on the total points earned divided by the number of
games where the goalie either won, lost or tied.
These adjustments result
in the following records:
| Goalie |
Season |
Decisions |
Wins |
Losses |
Ties |
Points |
Win% |
| Gary Smith |
1974-75 |
65 |
32 |
24 |
9 |
73 |
.562 |
| Kirk McLean |
1991-92 |
64 |
34 |
17 |
13 |
81 |
.633 |
| Dan Cloutier |
2002-03 |
54 |
29 |
15 |
10 |
68 |
.630 |
| Alex Auld |
2005-06 |
64 |
26 |
25 |
13 |
65 |
.508 |
| Roberto Luongo |
2006-07 |
74 |
31 |
22 |
21 |
83 |
.561 |
Now we can
rank these seasons a few ways:
Most adjusted wins
in an season:
34 - Kirk McLean (1991-92)
32 - Gary Smith (1974-75)
31 - Roberto Luongo (2006-07)
29 - Dan Cloutier (2002-03)
26 - Alex Auld (2005-06)
Most adjusted
points in a season:
83 - Roberto Luongo (2006-07)
81 - Kirk McLean (1991-92)
73 - Gary Smith (1974-75)
68 - Dan Cloutier (2002-03)
65 - Alex Auld (2005-06)
Best adjusted
winning percentage in a season:
.633 - Kirk McLean (1991-92)
.630 - Dan Cloutier (2002-03)
.562 - Gary Smith (1974-75)
.561 - Roberto Luongo (2006-07)
.508 - Alex Auld (2005-06)
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